Oil Ministry plans to split NOC in two; “unlikely” to placate Benghazi

Oil refinery in Brega. The NOC’s refining activities would be headquartered from Benghazi under the proposal.

The Ministry of Oil is proposing to separate the National Oil Corporation’s exploration and production activities from refining, establishing two separate bodies to be respectively headquartered in Tripoli and Benghazi.

The initiative comes a little under two months after a plan to give Benghazi effective responsibility for exploration, production and refining services in eastern Libya was put on hold following protests in Tripoli.

It is believed that the revised proposal is designed to placate oil workers and activists in eastern Libya who want Benghazi to have a greater say in the running of the country’s oil industry.

“In the oil and gas ministry, we have a near-term plan with respect to the [eastern] region,” new Oil Minister Abdelbari Al-Arusi said in a statement on the NOC’s website.

“[The body] will be called the ‘National Corporation for Oil Refining and Petrochemicals Industry’ and will oversee all companies operating in this area. It will launch projects and secure funding for them.”

In Tripoli would be headquartered the ‘National Corporation for the Exploration and Production of Oil and Gas’. The two departments would also have branches in Tripoli and Benghazi respectively, and would be under the Ministry of Oil.

According to the head of the NOC’s oilfield services arm, however, the proposal is unlikely to placate eastern discontent as currently conceived.

“I don’t think Benghazi will accept it”, Mohammed Albadaly, CEO of Jowfe, told the Libya Herald. “They want exploration and production, not refining. There are far fewer commercial activities in downstream, whereas upstream you have drilling, exploration, production, pipelines and so on”.

Albadaly said that the proposal would more likely be accepted by Benghazi if reversed, to give exploration and production responsibility to the east and leave refining in Tripoli, but that fierce resistance is likely to be encountered in the capital either way.

“A lot of the NOC’s employees are older; they have families and they have roots. They don’t want to move and they don’t want to lose their jobs. That’s why there was so much resistance to Decree 100”.

Under Decree 100, the proposal that was previously shelved, the NOC’s hitherto inconsequential Benghazi branch would have been given de factocontrol over the oil industry in eastern Libya, home to some 80 per cent of the country’s oil fields.

Five departments were to have been established, in the fields of petro-chemicals and refining, exploration and production, human resources, administration and finance. Having only been signed off on 4 October, NOC Resolution 100 was in force for less than a week before being suspended in the face of fierce opposition from staff in Tripoli.

Speaking to the Reuters news agency, Deputy Oil Minister Omar Shakmak described the latest plan as “a matter of reorganisation. We will receive feedback from experts within the oil sector and civil organisations … and upon that, a proposal will be submitted to the government,” he said.

Source: Libya Herald

Canoel Announces Expansion Into Libya

Canoel International Energy Ltd. ("Canoel" or the "Company") (TSX VENTURE:CIL) is pleased to announce that it is opening a representative office in Libya and is processing the opening of a local company registered under local Libyan laws.

Canoel has identified Libya as a country in which it will in the future seek to identify opportunities to conduct business and purchase exploration or production assets.

In Africa, Canoel already owns a small stake in Mafula Energy Ltd., a Zambia registered company, which has been awarded an exploration permit.

Andrea Cattaneo, the company's CEO, states "We are excited to start a settlement into Libya. We trust that this fast developing country will be a promising area where to deploy our exploration and & production skills."

Canoel's business plan is to grow through international acquisitions and exploration and to increase the production and reserves from its international inventory of oil and gas projects.

Libya's 2012 total oil and gas revenues are expected to be $54.9 Billion US Dollars.

(source: Libyan National Oil Corporation, NOC)

Earnings from oil exports account for more than 90% of Libya's National Income.

IMF generally positive on Libya, with caveats

The International Monetary Fund has expressed generally positive views about the direction of the Libyan economy.

Though working from June figures, which made the Washington-based economists think that Libya would not return to its pre-revolution hydrocarbon output until next year, when in fact the country hit that 1.6 million barrels daily this September, the report is generally upbeat.

As part of its biannual regional economic outlook, the IMF predicts a record-breaking 2012 GDP growth of 120 percent for Libya, coming after last year’s radical 60 percent contraction. If the security situation improves as predicted, the IMF believes that economy will remain robust, with growth for next year of 17 percent, easing thereafter to seven percent from 2014-2017.

Given no radical change in oil prices,  it says, Libya can expect a fiscal surplus this year, equivalent to 19 percent of GDP, while the current account surplus rises to 22 percent of GDP.  Inflation, which the IMF estimates was running at 16 percent last year, will, it expects, ease back to ten percent this year and drop to just one percent next year.  This sharp decline willF come about, “ despite upward pressure on domestic prices arising from supply bottleneck in housing and transportation.”

It warns however that if the global economy continues to struggle with recovery, oil and gas prices could fall, which would present the hydrocarbon-dependent Lbyan economy with challenges.

The IMF speaks of concern over security and political stability, but majors on the government’s need  to  exercise fiscal discipline, while maintain macroeconomic stability.

“As a short-term response to the aspirations of the revolution, the interim government raised wages and subsidies. “notes the report, “Although Libya can afford elevated levels of current expenditure during a transitional period, the increase in wages and subsidies is eroding the country’s fiscal buffers and undermining prospects for fiscal sustainability”.

The IMF also warns that Libya must tackle a whole range of pressing issues from improved education, rebuilding infrastructure, developing a financial market, cutting economic dependence on oil and gas production and putting in place an efficient social security net.

To this end, it says: “The country will need to establish a governance framework to improve transparency and accountability, to better manage its resource wealth, and help promote private sector-led economic development.”

By Hadi Fornaji " Libya Herald" 

Repsol 'closing in' for Libya drill

Spanish oil company Repsol is reported to be making final preparations to resume exploration drilling in Libya in early 2013, adding to signs that the Opec member's key industry is returning to normal after the 2011 civil war.

"We have ordered a new drilling rig and we will start as soon as that arrives, probably early next year," said a Repsol executive on the sidelines of the North Africa Oil & Gas conference, according to Reuters.

A Repsol spokesman said the first drilling would be in the east Libyan desert and added that production was now close to the 350,000 barrels per day the company was pumping before the war.

While the North African country has impressed analysts by ramping up production more quickly than expected to around 1.6 million barrels per day, it has so far had only limited success in luring back security-conscious foreign companies to carry out exploration work, despite its estimated 47 billion barrels of proven oil reserves.

A deadly attack on the US consulate in the eastern city of Benghazi in September is widely seen as acting as a further deterrent, especially for US players.

The relative caution of international oil companies contrasts with the speed with which Libyan oil workers resumed work, sometimes even before the end of the conflict.

The slow return of companies could hamper the ability of Africa's third largest oil producer to raise future output, according to the chairman of Zueitina Oil, which works alongside US company Occidental Petroleum.

"Some of them have lifted their force majeures but when it comes to actual work we have heard nothing," said Abdul Nasser Fituri Zammit, adding that the absence of construction and oil services companies was slowing down projects.

Libyan oil executives are hoping the Repsol decision as well as a commitment by BP to resume exploration will encourage others to return.

"Exploration is still much less than before the war. I hope the companies will be back early next year. Now it's being done by (Algeria's) Sonatrach and NOC [National Oil Corporation]," said a source at the Libyan Oil Ministry.

He added that local oil companies linked to NOC had "four or five" seismic teams in the desert and had begun drilling.

An executive with Polish company PGNiG also said at the conference there were plans to drill three wells in Libya next year.

Libya's LIA says stakes in UniCredit, Finmeccanica unfrozen

The Chairman of the Libyan Investment Authority (LIA) said on Monday a Rome court had ordered the release of the sovereign wealth fund's stakes in Italian bank UniCredit and Italian air defence group Finmeccanica.

"I am very pleased with this result," LIA head Mohsen Derregia said in a statement.

The assets had been seized in March following a request by the International Criminal Court in the Hague on the grounds that they were held by LIA on behalf of the family of former Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi.

In July LIA's stake in oil and gas group Eni was also unfrozen.

Source: Reuters